Snow-sure?

How snow-sure is La Clusaz?

At La Clusaz, there was enough natural snow at Christmas in 30 of the 30 winters 1984/85–2013/14: at least 30 cm on 10 or more of the 14 days from 22 December to 4 January at mid-mountain (1,800 m; pistes 1,030–2,476 m). With snowmaking: 30 of 30. Climate models expect an average of 11.4 such Christmas days with natural snow there in 2041–2060 (RCP4.5), against 12.5 in 1986–2005. Source: Copernicus C3S, Haute-Savoie region.

How it works ↓

Data: C3S UERRA reanalysis, winters 1984/85–2013/14; EURO-CORDEX scenarios to 2060 · calculated 3 November 2026 · Methodology and sources

30 of 30Snowy Christmases · natural snow
30 of 30Snowy Christmases · with snowmaking
170Days ≥ 30 cm per season · natural snow

More snowy Christmases than 88% of ski resorts in France and than 87% of the 690 European resorts on this site.

Christmas, year by year

1984/852013/14

Each box is one Christmas holiday (22 December to 4 January): the darker, the more days with at least 30 cm of natural snow. Outlined: at least 10 of the 14 days.

Christmases without enough natural snow (1,800 m): none.

Every winter in numbers
WinterDays ≥ 30 cm, natural snowDays ≥ 30 cm, with snowmaking
1984/8510 of 1414 of 14
1985/8614 of 1414 of 14
1986/8714 of 1414 of 14
1987/8814 of 1414 of 14
1988/8914 of 1414 of 14
1989/9014 of 1414 of 14
1990/9114 of 1414 of 14
1991/9214 of 1414 of 14
1992/9314 of 1414 of 14
1993/9414 of 1414 of 14
1994/9512 of 1414 of 14
1995/9614 of 1414 of 14
1996/9714 of 1414 of 14
1997/9814 of 1414 of 14
1998/9914 of 1414 of 14
1999/0014 of 1414 of 14
2000/0113 of 1414 of 14
2001/0214 of 1414 of 14
2002/0314 of 1414 of 14
2003/0414 of 1414 of 14
2004/0514 of 1414 of 14
2005/0614 of 1414 of 14
2006/0714 of 1414 of 14
2007/0814 of 1414 of 14
2008/0914 of 1414 of 14
2009/1014 of 1414 of 14
2010/1114 of 1414 of 14
2011/1214 of 1414 of 14
2012/1314 of 1414 of 14
2013/1414 of 1414 of 14

A low village can be deceptive: there is snow at Christmas in La Clusaz, you just have to look for it above the houses. At mid-mountain, 1,800 m, the holidays were snowy in each of the 30 winters 1984/85–2013/14. On that count the resort in Haute-Savoie beats 88% of resorts in France.

The main caveat: the lower runs

The lowest run at 1,030 m saw not a single snowy Christmas out of 30, and managed about 11 days with at least 30 cm of cover per season. Skiing back to the village over the holidays relies on snowmaking, and you have to ski on the middle and upper slopes: the top at 2,476 m was snowy in 29 Christmases out of 30. At mid-mountain, natural snow lies from 29 November to 16 May in a typical winter, so March snow is realistic in the Aravis too. The nearest neighbours sit lower and fare worse: Le Grand-Bornand gets 20 of 30 at 1,500 m, Megève 19 of 30 at 1,600 m. This is the climate of past winters, not a forecast (methodology). Of the three resorts for Christmas, La Clusaz is the most snow-sure.

Bottom, middle, top

1,030 m0 of 301,753 m30 of 302,476 m29 of 30
Piste heights and Christmases with enough natural snow (of 30); light: snow-sure (≥ 25 of 30)
LevelmC3S height bandSnowy ChristmasesDays ≥ 30 cm per season
Bottom (lowest run)1,0301,0000 of 3011
Mid-mountain1,7531,80030 of 30170
Top (highest run)2,4762,50029 of 30180

The whole season

Days with ≥ 30 cm (average), Natural snow170
Days with ≥ 30 cm (average), With snowmaking196
Days with ≥ 5 cm of natural snow (average)196
Typical continuous snow cover ≥ 30 cm, Natural snow29 November – 16 May (Winters with a continuous cover: 30/30)
Typical continuous snow cover ≥ 30 cm, With snowmaking15 November – 1 June (Winters with a continuous cover: 30/30)

Christmases with enough natural snow: 15 of 15 in 1984/85–1998/99, 15 of 15 in 1999/2000–2013/14. Snow days (≥ 30 cm) per season on average: 172 and 168.

What about the future? Climate scenarios

PeriodChristmas, days naturalChristmas, days with snowmakingSeason, days naturalSeason, days with snowmaking
Models, reference
1986–2005
12.514.0169198
Scenario RCP4.5 (medium emissions)
2021–2040
12.013.8162194
Scenario RCP4.5 (medium emissions)
2041–2060
11.413.5153187
Scenario RCP8.5 (high emissions)
2021–2040
12.014.0156187
Scenario RCP8.5 (high emissions)
2041–2060
10.513.9138175

Average of several regional climate models (EURO-CORDEX). Compare the scenarios with the model reference 1986–2005, not with the yearly values above: models and reanalysis have different errors. Scenarios are not forecasts.

Same numbers as

The data describe a region and a 100 m height band, not individual runs. These resorts lie in the same region at the same mid-mountain band: Balme - Vallorcine, Brévent/Flégère (Chamonix), Les Contamines.

The resort

CountryFrance
Region (NUTS-3)Haute-Savoie (FRK28)
Pistes (OpenStreetMap)96 km
Pistes from … to1,030–2,476 m
Lifts51
MapOpenStreetMap

What the numbers mean

How we calculate